As the crypto market evolves, Ether (ETH) spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are on the brink of entering the U.S. market, following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) recent approval of key regulatory filings. However, according to a recent analysis by broker Bernstein, these ETH ETFs are expected to attract lower demand relative to their Bitcoin (BTC) counterparts.
Bernstein analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra attribute this anticipated lower demand to the absence of an ETH staking feature within the ETFs. This missing element limits the potential for spot ETH conversion, a factor that has historically bolstered interest in Bitcoin ETFs. Nonetheless, the analysts highlight the basis trade—simultaneously buying the spot ETF and selling the futures contract—as a likely draw for investors, which should eventually contribute to robust liquidity in the ETH ETF market.
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Despite this projected lower demand, Ether’s role as a primary tokenization platform remains solid. It has established significant use cases, particularly in stablecoin payments and the tokenization of traditional assets and funds. As the cryptocurrency landscape matures, an enhanced regulatory framework is deemed crucial for further growth. Bernstein anticipates that the narrative around crypto regulation could improve, especially with the approaching U.S. elections and the increasing likelihood of a Republican victory, given former President Trump’s pro-crypto stance.
Moreover, the structural adoption cycle of digital assets remains resilient, despite recent market fluctuations. This sentiment echoes the perspective of financial behemoth JPMorgan, which also forecasts lower demand for spot Ether ETFs compared to Bitcoin ETFs. The institution attributes this to Bitcoin’s first-mover advantage, which may saturate the overall market demand for crypto ETFs.
In summary, while Ether spot ETFs are poised for introduction to U.S. investors, they are expected to garner less enthusiasm than Bitcoin ETFs. Factors such as the absence of staking features and Bitcoin’s entrenched market position play significant roles in this projection. Nonetheless, the continued development of regulatory frameworks and market structures will be critical in shaping the future landscape of cryptocurrency ETFs.
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