Bitcoin mining: a $74b opportunity despite market shifts, says jpmorgan

Bitcoin Mining: A $74B Opportunity Despite Market Shifts, Says JPMorgan

Last Updated: August 26, 2024By

In a recent analysis, JPMorgan (JPM) has shed light on the immense potential of Bitcoin mining, estimating that the value of the remaining 1.3 million Bitcoin (BTC) tokens yet to be mined stands at an impressive $74 billion. However, the bank has also adjusted its price targets for several key mining companies, reflecting the evolving landscape of Bitcoin’s market value and the underlying network hashrate.

Evolving Dynamics in the Mining Sector

JPMorgan’s revised outlook takes into account the second-quarter performance of several mining firms, alongside fluctuations in Bitcoin’s price and the total hashrate— a metric denoting the aggregate computational power harnessed for mining and transaction processing on a proof-of-work blockchain. Notably, the bank has reduced its price target for CleanSpark (CLSK) from $12.50 to $10.50, while maintaining a neutral stance on the stock. Similarly, the price target for Iren (IREN) was decreased from $11 to $9.50, though it retains an overweight rating. Marathon Digital (MARA), rated as underweight, saw its price objective lowered from $14 to $12, and Riot Platforms (RIOT), rated overweight, had its target trimmed from $12 to $9.50.

A Mixed Outlook on Block Rewards

JPMorgan’s report also delves into the four-year block reward revenue, projecting it at approximately $37 billion—a 19% decline since early June, yet a substantial 85% increase year-on-year. This nuanced perspective underscores the volatile yet lucrative nature of Bitcoin mining as it navigates through fluctuating market conditions.

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Strategic Investment Opportunities

Despite the tempered outlook, JPMorgan expresses a preference for Iren and Riot Platforms, citing the recent underperformance in these stocks as a potential buying opportunity. Riot, in particular, has lagged behind the sector for the year, primarily due to operational challenges. Nevertheless, JPMorgan anticipates a shift in sentiment and an upside in share price as the company improves its uptime and production metrics in the near future.

Conversely, Iren has faced recent setbacks, particularly a sharp increase in power costs in July linked to hedging losses. However, JPMorgan remains optimistic, suggesting that these challenges are rectifiable and could represent a valuable entry point for investors.

In summary, while the Bitcoin mining landscape is fraught with challenges, the potential rewards remain substantial. Investors are advised to keep a close watch on the evolving dynamics, with a particular focus on companies like Iren and Riot, which could offer significant upside as the market stabilizes.

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About the Author: Eunji Lim

Eunji lim